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Monitoring Process: Running Operational Forecasts

This guide explains how national meteorological services can generate seasonal forecast outputs using the Anticipatory Action pipeline.

1️⃣ Run Operational Script

Generate forecast outputs using the operational script:

pixi run python -m AA.operational <ISO> <ISSUE_MONTH> <SPI/DRYSPELL>

Notes:

  • <ISO> should be one of: MOZ, ZWE, or MWI.
  • <ISSUE_MONTH> is the month number (e.g., 9 for September, 11 for November).
  • MOZ requires both SPI and DRYSPELL runs.
  • ZWE and MWI require only SPI.

This step automatically merges the current issue month probabilities with the triggers. The output is saved in the configured data folder (S3_OPS_DATA_PATH).

After Running

Once the script completes: - The outputs will be available in your local environment or configured S3 path. - These outputs can be used for your internal analysis and dashboard updates.

For dashboard integration or advanced packaging, contact WFP support. Those steps are handled internally and are not required for running the forecasts.